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Decision guides · Citrus (Nagpur mandarin)

Citrus fruit drop: causes, and what to check first

Some drop after fruit set is natural; the tree sheds what it cannot carry. The worrying drop follows a sudden water stress or a sudden flood, a sharp weather change, or disease. The stalk and the skin of a fallen fruit usually tell you which. No product is named in this guide; if you suspect disease, show a sample to the KVK.

Last checked (AI-assisted): 15 Oct 2026. Checked on 15 Oct 2026 against published ICAR, state agricultural university and FAO guidance with AI assistance. Not yet reviewed by an agronomist or tested with farmers. No spray, pesticide, fertiliser or irrigation amount is given here; for those, test your soil and ask your KVK or an agronomist.

Recognise natural drop

After petal fall and while fruit is pea-sized, many fruitlets drop. This is the tree's own thinning; it keeps what it can feed. Natural drop is even across the orchard and ends within a few weeks.

A fallen fruit that is small, green, dropped with its stalk and free of marks is most likely natural.

Drop caused by water

If soil dried out while fruit was filling and then received a heavy irrigation, fruit can drop or split. Hot wind plus an irrigation gap in summer also raises drop.

The remedy is regularity: irrigate by checking soil moisture while fruit fills, with neither long gaps nor floods. See the irrigation guide for the method.

Drop caused by weather

Several cloudy humid days, or a sudden temperature jump in March or April, raise drop. You cannot control that; what you can do is avoid irrigation gaps and keep the orchard floor clean.

Drop caused by disease or pests

Dark brown or black marks on fallen fruit, rot near the stalk, or soft fruit point to disease. A puncture suggests fruit fly. Do not leave such fruit on the ground; collect and bury it outside the orchard.

Which product, how much, when: not in this guide. Show fallen fruit and photos to the KVK or an agronomist.

What the satellite shows

The satellite does not count fruit. It shows changes in canopy greenness. Drop is often preceded by a fall in greenness (water stress). When that warning arrives, check the soil. It does not stop the drop. It can sometimes warn earlier; how much earlier we have not yet measured.

What to check in your field or orchard this week

  • Collect fallen fruit and look: stalk intact and no marks (natural) or marks, rot, punctures (disease or pest)?
  • Is the drop even across all trees or only on some?
  • In the last two weeks, was there an irrigation gap or a sudden heavy irrigation?

A Watch message says only what changed and what to check. It never names a product, a fertiliser or an irrigation amount.

Questions

What percentage of drop is natural?

The figure varies by orchard and is not given in this guide. The test: even across trees, stops within a few weeks, no marks on the fruit.

Should I spray to stop the drop?

Not without knowing the cause. Water-related drop does not stop with a spray. If disease is possible, show a sample to the KVK first.

Can the satellite warn of drop in advance?

Only of water stress. When that warning comes, check soil moisture. Disease and pests are not visible to the satellite.

Want a weekly message for your field?

Call us to join. Free to watch. What changed in your field or orchard, every week, with the date and the source.

Sources

More guides

How we compute this and what the limits are: the methods page